Detroit Pistons vs New York Knicks — prediction, odds and player props, Oct 27
TonightProj.DET 109.4 – 113.0 NYKMadison Square Garden
DET 39%Win probability · model v1.261% NYK
- Spread
- NYK −3.6
- Total
- 222.4
- DET absences
- −5.0
- NYK absences
- −1.1
Injury report
Official NBA report 3:45 PM ETDetroit Pistons
1 out · 2 other- Jalen DurenRight Hamstring StrainOut
- Ausar ThompsonRight Ankle SprainQuestionable
- Isaiah JoeRight Hip ContusionQuestionable
New York Knicks
1 out- Jose AlvaradoLeft Ankle SprainOut
Absences in our model: DET −5.0 pts · NYK −1.1 ptsAll teams →
Model vs market
Odds read · sample 3 gamesWinnerNYK 61%modelMarket NYK 64% at 1.56
SpreadNYK −3.6modelMarket NYK −6.5
Total222.4modelMarket 218.5
| Market | Price | Model | Market | Edge | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYKMoneyline | 1.56 | 60.5% | 64.1% | −5.6% | Pass |
| DET +2.5Spread | 2.07 | 45.7% | 48.3% | −5.4% | Pass |
| Over 218.5Total | 1.87 | 52.8% | 53.5% | −1.4% | Pass |
| Over 108.5Team total · DET | 1.92 | 50.2% | 52.1% | −3.6% | Pass |
| Over 112.5Team total · NYK | 2.02 | 47.8% | 49.5% | −3.5% | Pass |
| NYK1X2 · regulation | 1.66 | 55.8% | 60.2% | −7.3% | Pass |
| NYK or drawDouble chance | 1.45 | 59.9% | 69.0% | −13.1% | Pass |
No value in the game lines: the model lands within the bookmaker's margin on every market. The best side of each market is shown.
Player props
Main lines · Detroit Pistons
Line → model projection| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | PRA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.5→23.0 | 5.5→5.5 | 8.5→9.8 | 37.5→39.8 | |
| 14.5→16.1 | 6.5→7.3 | 1.5→1.1 | 23.5→25.4 | |
| 12.5→16.0 | 2.5→2.9 | 1.5→2.5 | 16.5→22.4 |
Best edges · Detroit Pistons
All props tonight →- Duncan RobinsonFTMOver 0.52.4proj.1.6763%+5.7%
- Duncan RobinsonPts + AstOver 14.519.5proj.1.9553%+3.3%
- Duncan RobinsonPts + RebOver 14.519.9proj.1.9054%+3.3%
- Duncan RobinsonFTAOver 1.53.0proj.1.8057%+3.3%
- Duncan RobinsonPts + Reb + AstOver 16.522.4proj.1.8855%+3.2%
The model flags 7 of 361 prop lines in this game as value. Edges this wide come from a 3-game sample — treat them as leads, not locks.
Form & team stats
DETPer game, this seasonNYK
118.3Points101.7
52.0Rebounds47.3
28.7Assists24.7
18.0Turnovers16.3
47.3FG%40.8
42.03P%32.4
77.9FT%70.8
+12.7Point diff.−6.3
All priced lines (361) — full line ladders per player
FTM
U 0.5
37% vs 49%2.05-25%
O 0.5Pick
63% vs 60%1.67+6%
Pts + Ast
U 14.5
47% vs 56%1.77-17%
O 14.5Pick
53% vs 51%1.95+3%
Pts + Reb
U 14.5
46% vs 55%1.83-17%
O 14.5Pick
54% vs 53%1.90+3%
FTA
U 1.5
43% vs 54%1.85-21%
O 1.5Pick
57% vs 56%1.80+3%
Pts + Reb + Ast
U 16.5
45% vs 55%1.83-18%
O 16.5Pick
55% vs 53%1.88+3%
3PM
U 2.5
40% vs 48%2.07-18%
O 2.5
60% vs 59%1.69+2%
Pts
U 12.5
48% vs 57%1.76-15%
O 12.5
52% vs 51%1.97+2%
3PA
U 7.5
51% vs 61%1.65-16%
O 7.5
49% vs 49%2.05+1%
Reb
U 2.5
55% vs 63%1.60-13%
O 2.5
45% vs 45%2.22+1%
Reb + Ast
U 4.5
51% vs 60%1.68-14%
O 4.5
49% vs 48%2.07+1%
Ast
U 1.5
40% vs 46%2.17-14%
O 1.5
60% vs 61%1.63-2%
FGA
U 9.5
47% vs 56%1.80-16%
O 9.5
53% vs 54%1.85-2%
FGM
U 3.5
39% vs 46%2.17-15%
O 3.5
61% vs 63%1.60-2%
Fouls
U 2.5
46% vs 53%1.90-12%
O 2.5
54% vs 56%1.78-5%
2PM
U 1.5
65% vs 68%1.46-5%
2PA
U 2.5
57% vs 64%1.56-11%
O 2.5
43% vs 45%2.20-5%
TO
O 0.5
67% vs 72%1.39-7%
FTA
U 1.5Pick
56% vs 53%1.87+6%
O 1.5
44% vs 56%1.78-22%
FTM
U 1.5Pick
63% vs 61%1.65+4%
O 1.5
37% vs 48%2.07-23%
Pts
U 11.5
53% vs 53%1.87-1%
O 11.5
47% vs 54%1.85-13%
TO
U 1.5
69% vs 70%1.42-2%
Fouls
U 2.5
57% vs 60%1.68-4%
O 2.5
43% vs 49%2.05-12%
3PM
U 1.5
59% vs 62%1.62-4%
O 1.5
41% vs 46%2.17-11%
Pts + Reb
U 15.5
54% vs 57%1.76-4%
O 15.5
46% vs 51%1.97-10%
Ast
U 2.5
44% vs 49%2.05-9%
O 2.5
56% vs 58%1.71-5%
Pts + Reb + Ast
U 17.5
49% vs 51%1.95-5%
O 17.5
51% vs 56%1.77-9%
Pts + Ast
U 14.5
52% vs 55%1.83-5%
O 14.5
48% vs 53%1.88-10%
2PA
U 5.5
53% vs 60%1.66-12%
O 5.5
47% vs 50%2.02-5%
3PA
U 4.5
56% vs 63%1.59-11%
O 4.5
44% vs 47%2.15-5%
FGA
U 9.5
50% vs 56%1.78-12%
O 9.5
50% vs 53%1.87-6%
Reb + Ast
U 6.5
52% vs 57%1.75-9%
O 6.5
48% vs 51%1.97-6%
Reb
U 3.5
52% vs 57%1.76-8%
O 3.5
48% vs 51%1.97-6%
2PM
U 2.5
43% vs 47%2.12-10%
O 2.5
57% vs 62%1.62-7%
FGM
U 4.5
53% vs 57%1.75-8%
O 4.5
47% vs 51%1.95-8%
FTA
U 0.5
49% vs 60%1.68-18%
O 0.5
51% vs 50%2.00+3%
3PM
U 1.5
53% vs 60%1.67-12%
O 1.5
47% vs 48%2.10-1%
FGM
U 2.5
54% vs 61%1.63-13%
O 2.5
47% vs 47%2.12-1%
3PA
U 4.5
52% vs 61%1.65-14%
O 4.5
48% vs 49%2.05-2%
TO
U 0.5
46% vs 53%1.90-12%
O 0.5
54% vs 56%1.80-3%
2PA
U 1.5
52% vs 60%1.68-13%
O 1.5
48% vs 50%2.00-3%
FTM
U 0.5
55% vs 62%1.62-11%
O 0.5
45% vs 47%2.12-4%
Fouls
U 2.5
64% vs 67%1.49-4%
FGA
U 5.5
44% vs 51%1.95-14%
O 5.5
56% vs 58%1.71-4%
Pts
U 7.5
52% vs 56%1.77-8%
O 7.5
48% vs 51%1.97-5%
2PM
U 0.5
44% vs 50%2.00-12%
O 0.5
56% vs 59%1.70-5%
Reb
U 1.5
45% vs 50%2.02-9%
O 1.5
55% vs 58%1.71-6%
FTM
U 2.5
43% vs 52%1.92-17%
O 2.5
57% vs 56%1.77+1%
FTA
U 3.5
47% vs 56%1.77-17%
O 3.5
53% vs 53%1.88-0%
TO
U 1.5
51% vs 60%1.68-15%
O 1.5
49% vs 50%2.02-1%
Reb + Ast
U 7.5
51% vs 58%1.72-12%
O 7.5
49% vs 50%2.02-1%
Ast
U 1.5
38% vs 44%2.25-15%
O 1.5
62% vs 63%1.58-2%
Reb
U 5.5
54% vs 60%1.67-10%
O 5.5
46% vs 48%2.10-3%
Pts + Reb + Ast
U 23.5
46% vs 51%1.95-11%
O 23.5
54% vs 56%1.78-3%
Pts + Ast
U 18.5
47% vs 53%1.88-11%
O 18.5
53% vs 55%1.83-4%
Pts + Reb
U 21.5
47% vs 53%1.90-10%
O 21.5
53% vs 55%1.82-4%
3PA
U 6.5
54% vs 61%1.64-12%
O 6.5
46% vs 48%2.07-4%
3PM
U 2.5
56% vs 60%1.68-6%
O 2.5
44% vs 48%2.07-9%
FGM
U 5.5
50% vs 55%1.82-10%
O 5.5
50% vs 54%1.85-7%
Pts
U 16.5
50% vs 54%1.85-7%
O 16.5
50% vs 53%1.87-7%
FGA
U 11.5
45% vs 51%1.97-11%
O 11.5
55% vs 59%1.70-7%
2PM
U 3.5
56% vs 61%1.63-8%
O 3.5
44% vs 47%2.12-7%
2PA
U 5.5
48% vs 53%1.87-9%
O 5.5
52% vs 56%1.78-8%
Fouls
U 3.5
61% vs 66%1.51-8%
FTM
U 2.5
65% vs 64%1.56+1%
O 2.5
35% vs 44%2.25-20%
3PM
U 1.5
53% vs 60%1.66-13%
O 1.5
47% vs 48%2.10-0%
FTA
U 2.5
54% vs 55%1.82-1%
O 2.5
46% vs 55%1.83-17%
FGM
U 5.5
47% vs 55%1.82-14%
O 5.5
53% vs 53%1.87-1%
FGA
U 11.5
52% vs 60%1.67-14%
O 11.5
48% vs 50%2.02-2%
Pts + Ast
U 16.5
50% vs 56%1.80-11%
O 16.5
50% vs 52%1.92-3%
Pts + Reb + Ast
U 23.5
49% vs 55%1.82-11%
O 23.5
51% vs 53%1.90-3%
Pts + Reb
U 21.5
46% vs 51%1.95-11%
O 21.5
54% vs 56%1.78-3%
2PM
U 3.5
40% vs 46%2.17-14%
O 3.5
60% vs 63%1.60-3%
2PA
U 6.5
43% vs 50%2.00-15%
O 6.5
57% vs 60%1.68-4%
Pts
U 14.5
46% vs 51%1.95-9%
O 14.5
54% vs 56%1.78-5%
3PA
U 3.5
41% vs 48%2.10-13%
O 3.5
59% vs 62%1.61-6%
Ast
U 1.5
61% vs 65%1.53-6%
Reb + Ast
U 8.5
52% vs 57%1.76-8%
O 8.5
48% vs 51%1.97-6%
Reb
U 6.5
44% vs 48%2.07-8%
O 6.5
56% vs 60%1.68-6%
TO
U 1.5
54% vs 58%1.71-8%
O 1.5
46% vs 50%2.00-8%
Fouls
O 2.5
58% vs 65%1.55-11%
Fouls
U 2.5
55% vs 55%1.83+0%
O 2.5
45% vs 54%1.85-17%
2PM
U 6.5
53% vs 60%1.67-12%
O 6.5
47% vs 49%2.05-3%
Reb
U 3.5
56% vs 62%1.61-9%
O 3.5
44% vs 45%2.20-4%
FTM
U 5.5
52% vs 54%1.85-4%
O 5.5
48% vs 55%1.83-12%
Pts
U 25.5
52% vs 54%1.85-4%
O 25.5
48% vs 53%1.87-10%
TO
U 2.5
48% vs 50%2.00-5%
O 2.5
52% vs 58%1.71-11%
FGM
U 8.5
50% vs 56%1.78-11%
O 8.5
50% vs 53%1.90-5%
3PA
U 6.5
55% vs 62%1.62-11%
O 6.5
45% vs 48%2.10-5%
3PM
O 1.5
62% vs 66%1.52-6%
Ast
U 5.5
46% vs 50%2.00-7%
O 5.5
54% vs 57%1.75-6%
2PA
U 13.5
49% vs 55%1.82-11%
O 13.5
51% vs 55%1.83-6%
FTA
U 6.5
50% vs 53%1.88-7%
O 6.5
50% vs 56%1.77-11%
FGA
U 19.5
47% vs 53%1.90-11%
O 19.5
53% vs 57%1.76-7%
Pts + Ast
U 31.5
51% vs 55%1.83-7%
O 31.5
49% vs 53%1.90-7%
Reb + Ast
U 8.5
44% vs 48%2.10-7%
O 8.5
56% vs 60%1.67-7%
Pts + Reb + Ast
U 34.5
49% vs 53%1.90-7%
O 34.5
51% vs 55%1.82-7%
Pts + Reb
U 28.5
49% vs 53%1.90-7%
O 28.5
51% vs 55%1.82-7%
FGM
U 2.5
55% vs 64%1.56-14%
O 2.5
45% vs 44%2.25+0%
Fouls
U 1.5
52% vs 53%1.90-1%
O 1.5
48% vs 56%1.80-14%
3PM
U 1.5
46% vs 53%1.90-12%
O 1.5
54% vs 55%1.82-2%
2PA
U 1.5
50% vs 57%1.74-14%
O 1.5
50% vs 52%1.92-3%
Pts
U 6.5
45% vs 51%1.97-11%
O 6.5
55% vs 57%1.76-4%
FGA
U 5.5
47% vs 54%1.85-14%
O 5.5
53% vs 56%1.80-4%
3PA
U 3.5
40% vs 47%2.15-13%
O 3.5
60% vs 63%1.59-5%
2PM
U 0.5
49% vs 53%1.88-8%
O 0.5
51% vs 56%1.80-8%
FTM
U 0.5
59% vs 69%1.45-14%
FTA
U 0.5
56% vs 68%1.46-18%
Pts + Reb + Ast
U 22.5
44% vs 52%1.92-15%
O 22.5
56% vs 56%1.80+0%
Reb
U 7.5
50% vs 58%1.72-13%
O 7.5
50% vs 50%2.02+0%
Pts + Reb
U 18.5
46% vs 53%1.88-14%
O 18.5
54% vs 55%1.83-0%
2PM
U 2.5
50% vs 58%1.72-15%
O 2.5
50% vs 51%1.97-1%
Pts + Ast
U 15.5
46% vs 53%1.87-13%
O 15.5
54% vs 54%1.85-1%
3PM
U 1.5
50% vs 57%1.74-12%
O 1.5
50% vs 50%2.00-1%
Ast
U 4.5
53% vs 60%1.66-11%
O 4.5
47% vs 47%2.12-1%
2PA
U 4.5
49% vs 58%1.73-16%
O 4.5
51% vs 52%1.92-1%
Reb + Ast
U 11.5
46% vs 53%1.88-13%
O 11.5
54% vs 55%1.83-2%
Pts
U 11.5
50% vs 56%1.78-11%
O 11.5
50% vs 51%1.95-3%
3PA
U 4.5
48% vs 56%1.77-14%
O 4.5
52% vs 53%1.88-3%
FGA
U 8.5
42% vs 50%2.02-16%
O 8.5
58% vs 60%1.66-3%
FGM
U 3.5
38% vs 45%2.22-15%
O 3.5
62% vs 64%1.57-3%
Fouls
U 3.5
58% vs 61%1.65-3%
O 3.5
42% vs 48%2.10-13%
FTM
U 1.5
55% vs 57%1.74-5%
O 1.5
45% vs 51%1.95-12%
TO
O 1.5
60% vs 65%1.54-8%
FTA
O 1.5
60% vs 68%1.47-11%
FGM
U 6.5
48% vs 56%1.78-14%
O 6.5
52% vs 53%1.90-2%
Pts + Reb
U 31.5
48% vs 55%1.83-12%
O 31.5
52% vs 53%1.88-2%
TO
U 2.5
47% vs 55%1.82-14%
O 2.5
53% vs 54%1.85-2%
Pts + Reb + Ast
U 34.5
46% vs 53%1.90-12%
O 34.5
54% vs 55%1.82-3%
2PM
U 4.5
40% vs 47%2.12-14%
O 4.5
60% vs 61%1.63-3%
FGA
U 12.5
46% vs 54%1.85-15%
O 12.5
54% vs 56%1.80-3%
2PA
U 8.5
46% vs 53%1.87-15%
O 8.5
54% vs 56%1.78-3%
Pts + Ast
U 22.5
46% vs 52%1.92-11%
O 22.5
54% vs 56%1.80-3%
3PM
U 1.5
54% vs 60%1.67-10%
O 1.5
46% vs 48%2.10-4%
3PA
U 3.5
45% vs 52%1.92-14%
O 3.5
55% vs 58%1.73-5%
Reb + Ast
U 15.5
50% vs 55%1.82-9%
O 15.5
50% vs 53%1.90-5%
Pts
U 19.5
49% vs 54%1.85-9%
O 19.5
51% vs 53%1.87-5%
Reb
U 11.5
45% vs 50%2.00-10%
O 11.5
55% vs 58%1.73-5%
Fouls
U 3.5
43% vs 45%2.20-6%
O 3.5
57% vs 63%1.58-10%
FTA
U 5.5
48% vs 55%1.83-12%
O 5.5
52% vs 55%1.82-6%
FTM
U 4.5
47% vs 52%1.92-10%
O 4.5
53% vs 57%1.76-6%
Ast
U 3.5
55% vs 59%1.70-7%
O 3.5
45% vs 49%2.05-8%
Ast
U 8.5
47% vs 53%1.90-11%
O 8.5
53% vs 55%1.83-3%
Reb + Ast
U 14.5
52% vs 58%1.73-11%
O 14.5
48% vs 50%2.00-3%
Pts + Reb + Ast
U 37.5
49% vs 54%1.85-10%
O 37.5
51% vs 53%1.87-4%
Pts + Ast
U 32.5
50% vs 56%1.80-10%
O 32.5
50% vs 52%1.92-4%
FTA
U 5.5
47% vs 55%1.83-13%
O 5.5
53% vs 55%1.82-4%
Reb
U 5.5
54% vs 60%1.68-9%
O 5.5
46% vs 48%2.07-5%
FTM
U 4.5
48% vs 54%1.85-11%
O 4.5
52% vs 55%1.83-5%
Pts + Reb
U 28.5
49% vs 53%1.87-9%
O 28.5
51% vs 54%1.85-5%
2PM
U 6.5
54% vs 60%1.67-10%
O 6.5
46% vs 49%2.05-5%
FGM
U 8.5
52% vs 57%1.75-9%
O 8.5
48% vs 51%1.95-6%
FGA
U 19.5
52% vs 55%1.82-6%
O 19.5
48% vs 55%1.83-11%
3PM
O 1.5
61% vs 65%1.55-6%
3PA
U 6.5
52% vs 56%1.80-6%
O 6.5
48% vs 54%1.85-11%
TO
U 4.5
52% vs 57%1.75-9%
O 4.5
48% vs 51%1.95-6%
Pts
U 23.5
51% vs 55%1.82-7%
O 23.5
49% vs 53%1.90-7%
2PA
U 12.5
48% vs 52%1.92-7%
O 12.5
52% vs 58%1.73-10%
Fouls
O 2.5
60% vs 65%1.53-8%
2PM
U 4.5
47% vs 53%1.87-12%
O 4.5
53% vs 55%1.82-4%
Pts + Reb + Ast
U 23.5
50% vs 56%1.80-10%
O 23.5
50% vs 52%1.92-4%
Pts + Reb
U 20.5
47% vs 53%1.90-10%
O 20.5
53% vs 55%1.82-4%
FGM
U 4.5
43% vs 49%2.05-13%
O 4.5
57% vs 60%1.67-4%
Reb
U 8.5
53% vs 59%1.70-9%
O 8.5
47% vs 49%2.05-4%
Pts + Ast
U 14.5
47% vs 52%1.92-10%
O 14.5
53% vs 56%1.80-4%
Reb + Ast
U 10.5
50% vs 56%1.80-9%
O 10.5
50% vs 52%1.92-5%
FTA
U 2.5
55% vs 63%1.60-12%
O 2.5
45% vs 47%2.12-5%
Pts
U 12.5
50% vs 54%1.85-8%
O 12.5
50% vs 53%1.87-6%
3PA
U 0.5
43% vs 48%2.07-12%
O 0.5
57% vs 61%1.63-6%
TO
U 1.5
50% vs 55%1.82-9%
O 1.5
50% vs 53%1.87-7%
FGA
U 8.5
46% vs 52%1.92-11%
O 8.5
54% vs 58%1.73-7%
Fouls
U 3.5
58% vs 63%1.59-8%
O 3.5
42% vs 45%2.20-7%
2PA
U 7.5
45% vs 51%1.97-11%
O 7.5
55% vs 59%1.69-7%
FTM
U 1.5
49% vs 53%1.90-8%
O 1.5
51% vs 56%1.80-8%
Ast
U 2.5
58% vs 64%1.57-9%
Fouls
U 3.5
63% vs 66%1.52-5%
Pts
U 9.5
51% vs 53%1.87-5%
O 9.5
49% vs 54%1.85-9%
Pts + Reb + Ast
U 19.5
51% vs 54%1.85-6%
O 19.5
49% vs 53%1.87-8%
Pts + Ast
U 13.5
53% vs 56%1.78-7%
O 13.5
47% vs 51%1.95-7%
Reb
U 5.5
45% vs 49%2.05-8%
O 5.5
55% vs 59%1.70-7%
FGM
U 3.5
46% vs 51%1.97-9%
O 3.5
54% vs 58%1.73-7%
Pts + Reb
U 15.5
50% vs 53%1.88-7%
O 15.5
50% vs 55%1.83-8%
2PM
U 3.5
49% vs 53%1.87-9%
O 3.5
51% vs 55%1.82-7%
FTM
U 1.5
58% vs 64%1.57-9%
O 1.5
42% vs 45%2.22-7%
Reb + Ast
U 9.5
48% vs 52%1.92-7%
O 9.5
52% vs 56%1.80-7%
Ast
U 3.5
49% vs 53%1.88-8%
O 3.5
51% vs 55%1.83-7%
TO
U 1.5
46% vs 51%1.97-9%
O 1.5
54% vs 58%1.73-7%
2PA
U 6.5
46% vs 51%1.95-10%
O 6.5
54% vs 58%1.72-8%
FGA
U 7.5
52% vs 57%1.75-10%
O 7.5
48% vs 53%1.90-8%
FTA
U 2.5
60% vs 67%1.50-9%