Atlanta Hawks vs Chicago Bulls — prediction, odds and player props, Nov 13
TonightProj.ATL 119.4 – 114.5 CHIUnited Center
ATL 65%Win probability · model v1.235% CHI
- Spread
- ATL −4.9
- Total
- 234.0
- ATL absences
- −1.1
- CHI absences
- −2.6
Form, game by game
Each team's last 10 games before this one, oldest on the left.
Pointsfull game
ATLavg 115.9· line 125.5 · over 1/10
CHIavg 113.3· line 118.5 · over 5/10
Form & team stats
Atlanta Hawks · last games
Lvs LAL114–124Nov 9Wvs BKN124–121Nov 7Wvs WAS139–132Nov 6W@ WAS120–105Nov 4W@ IND108–104Nov 2Chicago Bulls · last games
Lvs SAS119–124Nov 11Lvs PHI121–127Nov 8L@ NYK105–135Nov 4L@ PHI107–126Nov 2L@ BOS111–125Oct 30ATLPer game, this seasonCHI
118.3Points113.3
43.8Rebounds43.3
31.7Assists26.0
15.1Turnovers16.4
45.3FG%43.7
35.23P%28.9
76.3FT%76.1
+2.1Point diff.−15.5
Model picks
All predictions →- CHI Under 118.5Team points-10956% · EV +8.3%
- Jalen Smith over 9.5FGA · CHI-13562% · EV +7.3%
- Jalen Smith over 4.5FGM · CHI-13761% · EV +6.3%
Tipster picks
No picks yet — post the first one with your analysis.Injury report
Official NBA report 11:45 PM ETAtlanta Hawks
4 out · 1 other- Asa NewellLeft Great Toe HyperextensionOut
- Henri VeesaarRight ACL TearOut
- Keshon GilbertLeft Knee Inflammation Non-Surgical ProcedureOut
- Mouhamed GueyeLeft Foot FractureOut
- Kingston FlemingsLumbar SpasmQuestionable
Chicago Bulls
2 out · 2 other- Caleb WilsonRight Metacarpal FractureOut
- Tobe AwakaDisc IrritationOut
- Dailyn SwainRight Disc IrritationQuestionable
- Norman PowellLow Back SpasmsQuestionable
Absences in our model: ATL −1.1 pts · CHI −2.6 ptsAll teams →
Model vs market
Odds read · sample 10 gamesWinnerATL 65%modelMarket ATL 73% at -270
SpreadATL −4.9modelMarket CHI +6.5
Total234.0modelMarket 246.5
| Market | Price | Model | Market | Edge | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHIMoneyline | +200 | 33.1% | 33.3% | −0.7% | Pass |
| CHI +6.5Spread | -109 | 52.2% | 52.1% | +0.2% | Pass |
| Under 246.5Total | -135 | 64.6% | 57.5% | +12.3% | Pass |
| Under 127.5Team total · ATL | -141 | 65.7% | 58.5% | +12.4% | Pass |
| Under 118.5Team total · CHI | -109 | 56.4% | 52.1% | +8.3% | Pick |
| CHI1X2 · regulation | +225 | 30.5% | 30.8% | −1.0% | Pass |
| CHI or drawDouble chance | +155 | 36.2% | 39.2% | −7.8% | Pass |
1 model pick in the game lines. Pick = the model's side at the alternative line with the best expected value (price 1.70-2.60, 45%+); Value = the model beats the price. Other markets show the best-priced side.
Player props
Best edges · Chicago Bulls
All props tonight →- Matas BuzelisFTMOver 2.53.8proj.-10560%+17.9%
- Isaac Okoro2PMUnder 1.51.3proj.+12252%+15.1%
- Isaac OkoroFGMUnder 2.51.8proj.+10755%+14.1%
- Jalen Smith3PAOver 4.56.1proj.-15668%+11.1%
- Isaac OkoroFGAUnder 6.54.6proj.-15667%+10.4%
- Isaac Okoro2PAUnder 3.52.3proj.-15466%+8.3%
The model flags 21 of 174 prop lines in this game as value.
All priced lines (174) — full line ladders per player
Loading lines…