Portland Trail Blazers vs Sacramento Kings — prediction, odds and player props, Nov 13
TonightProj.POR 116.0 – 112.1 SACGolden 1 Center
POR 62%Win probability · model v1.238% SAC
- Spread
- POR −3.9
- Total
- 228.1
- POR absences
- −2.5
- SAC absences
- −1.9
Form, game by game
Each team's last 10 games before this one, oldest on the left.
Pointsfull game
PORavg 119.1· line 120.5 · over 4/10
SACavg 109.5· line 109.5 · over 4/10
Form & team stats
Portland Trail Blazers · last games
Wvs OKC118–108Nov 11Wvs OKC123–103Nov 10Lvs SAS103–125Nov 7L@ LAL118–124Nov 6W@ PHX132–119Nov 4Sacramento Kings · last games
Lvs ORL100–107Nov 10Lvs MIA108–114Nov 8Lvs SAS109–124Nov 6Lvs LAL103–116Nov 4W@ DAL115–100Nov 2PORPer game, this seasonSAC
119.5Points108.3
44.5Rebounds40.1
25.7Assists24.6
16.3Turnovers17.5
46.9FG%45.5
36.23P%34.7
77.4FT%76.7
+7.3Point diff.−12.7
Model picks
All predictions →- POR Under 117.5Team points+13048% · EV +9.7%
- SAC Over 109.5Team points-10954% · EV +3.7%
- Darius Acuff Jr. over 8.5FGM · SAC-13265% · EV +14.6%
- Domantas Sabonis over 8.5FGA · SAC-13365% · EV +13.3%
Tipster picks
No picks yet — post the first one with your analysis.Injury report
Official NBA report 11:45 PM ETPortland Trail Blazers
4 out- Chris YoungbloodRight Bone BruiseOut
- Ja MorantLeft Hamstring StrainOut
- Shaedon SharpeRight Meniscus SurgeryOut
- Vit KrejciLeft Ankle FractureOut
Sacramento Kings
2 out · 1 other- Ben SimmonsRight Achilles Tendon Repair/SurgeryOut
- Maxime RaynaudRight Patella SubluxationOut
- Precious AchiuwaLeft Ankle SorenessQuestionable
Absences in our model: POR −2.5 pts · SAC −1.9 ptsAll teams →
Model vs market
Odds read · sample 11 gamesWinnerPOR 62%modelMarket POR 85% at -556
SpreadPOR −3.9modelMarket SAC +11.5
Total228.1modelMarket 230.5
| Market | Price | Model | Market | Edge | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PORMoneyline | -556 | 71.1% | 84.7% | −16.2% | Pass |
| SAC +11.5Spread | -122 | 62.4% | 54.9% | +13.5% | Pass |
| Under 230.5Total | -115 | 52.9% | 53.5% | −1.1% | Pass |
| Under 117.5Team total · POR | +130 | 47.7% | 43.5% | +9.7% | Pick |
| Over 109.5Team total · SAC | -109 | 54.0% | 52.1% | +3.7% | Pick |
| Draw1X2 · regulation | +1400 | 6.1% | 6.7% | −8.0% | Pass |
| SAC or drawDouble chance | +270 | 32.5% | 27.0% | +20.1% | Pass |
2 model picks in the game lines. Pick = the model's side at the alternative line with the best expected value (price 1.70-2.60, 45%+); Value = the model beats the price. Other markets show the best-priced side.
Player props
Best edges · Portland Trail Blazers
All props tonight →- Scoot HendersonFTAOver 2.53.8proj.+11059%+23.2%
- Scoot HendersonFoulsOver 2.53.3proj.+12054%+18.4%
- Sidy CissokoFTMOver 0.51.6proj.-14768%+14.9%
- Scoot HendersonTOOver 1.52.6proj.-13264%+12.0%
- Scoot HendersonFTMOver 1.53.1proj.-17271%+11.5%
- Jrue HolidayFGMOver 4.55.5proj.-11459%+10.8%
The model flags 47 of 239 prop lines in this game as value.
All priced lines (239) — full line ladders per player
Loading lines…