Milwaukee Bucks vs Orlando Magic — prediction, odds and player props, Nov 13
TonightProj.MIL 111.1 – 113.4 ORLKia Center
MIL 43%Win probability · model v1.257% ORL
- Spread
- ORL −2.3
- Total
- 224.5
- MIL absences
- −0.0
- ORL absences
- −4.0
Form, game by game
Each team's last 10 games before this one, oldest on the left.
Pointsfull game
MILavg 104· line 107.5 · over 4/10
ORLavg 106.8· line 116.5 · over 3/10
Form & team stats
Milwaukee Bucks · last games
Lvs LAL112–123Nov 11L@ NYK85–117Nov 10Lvs BOS97–117Nov 8Lvs TOR107–121Nov 6L@ BOS102–109Nov 4Orlando Magic · last games
W@ UTA123–108Nov 11W@ SAC107–100Nov 10L@ GSW119–126Nov 7L@ PHX104–117Nov 5Lvs WAS94–103Nov 2MILPer game, this seasonORL
106.8Points108.5
44.8Rebounds42.7
25.2Assists25.7
16.7Turnovers17.0
43.1FG%44.8
33.83P%34.1
76.1FT%77.0
−14.6Point diff.−5.5
Model picks
All predictions →- MIL Over 106.5Team points-12559% · EV +6.4%
- ORL Under 116.5Team points-11155% · EV +4.9%
- Brayden Burries under 1.5TO · MIL-12864% · EV +13.8%
- Nate Ament under 2.5Fouls · MIL-12562% · EV +11.3%
Tipster picks
No picks yet — post the first one with your analysis.Injury report
Official NBA report 11:45 PM ETMilwaukee Bucks
No injuries reported.
Orlando Magic
4 out · 3 other- Izaiyah NelsonLeft Ankle Injury RecoveryOut
- Jonathan IsaacLeft Knee Injury ManagementOut
- Noah PendaRight Partially Torn HamstringOut
- Paolo BancheroRight High Ankle SprainOut
- Jalen SuggsRight Knee Contusion/Bone BruiseQuestionable
- Jamal CainLeft Shoulder ContusionQuestionable
- Tristan da SilvaLeft Calf StrainQuestionable
Absences in our model: ORL −4.0 ptsAll teams →
Model vs market
Odds read · sample 11 gamesWinnerORL 57%modelMarket ORL 80% at -400
SpreadORL −2.3modelMarket ORL −14.5
Total224.5modelMarket 223.5
| Market | Price | Model | Market | Edge | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MILMoneyline | +280 | 33.7% | 26.3% | +28.0% | Pass |
| MIL +9.5Spread | -111 | 60.7% | 52.6% | +15.4% | Pass |
| Over 223.5Total | -111 | 50.9% | 52.6% | −3.2% | Pass |
| Over 106.5Team total · MIL | -125 | 59.1% | 55.6% | +6.4% | Pick |
| Under 116.5Team total · ORL | -111 | 55.2% | 52.6% | +4.9% | Pick |
| MIL1X2 · regulation | +300 | 31.4% | 25.0% | +25.6% | Pass |
| MIL or drawDouble chance | +215 | 36.9% | 31.7% | +16.4% | Pass |
2 model picks in the game lines. Pick = the model's side at the alternative line with the best expected value (price 1.70-2.60, 45%+); Value = the model beats the price. Other markets show the best-priced side.
Player props
Best edges · Milwaukee Bucks
All props tonight →- Brayden BurriesFoulsUnder 2.51.4proj.+11565%+38.8%
- Tyler HerroTOUnder 2.51.8proj.+10060%+19.3%
- Brayden BurriesFGAUnder 9.57.6proj.-10560%+16.3%
- Myles TurnerFTAUnder 1.51.1proj.+10058%+15.5%
- Nate Ament3PAUnder 2.52.1proj.+11553%+14.2%
- Brayden BurriesTOUnder 1.51.0proj.-12864%+13.8%
The model flags 26 of 172 prop lines in this game as value.
All priced lines (172) — full line ladders per player
Loading lines…