Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat — prediction, odds and player props, Nov 13
TonightProj.CLE 113.1 – 117.6 MIAKaseya Center
CLE 36%Win probability · model v1.264% MIA
- Spread
- MIA −4.5
- Total
- 230.8
- CLE absences
- −5.5
- MIA absences
- −1.5
Form, game by game
Each team's last 10 games before this one, oldest on the left.
Pointsfull game
CLEavg 116.6· line 117.5 · over 4/10
MIAavg 116.7· line 119.5 · over 2/10
Form & team stats
Cleveland Cavaliers · last games
W@ NYK115–107Nov 11L@ CHA112–124Nov 9Lvs NYK97–109Nov 7Wvs PHI119–95Nov 6L@ OKC116–124Nov 4Miami Heat · last games
W@ UTA115–109Nov 10W@ SAC114–108Nov 8L@ GSW100–120Nov 5W@ LAC117–116Nov 4L@ LAL117–138Nov 2CLEPer game, this seasonMIA
116.4Points115.7
45.7Rebounds41.9
26.7Assists28.7
13.5Turnovers14.9
46.4FG%46.2
36.93P%33.6
75.4FT%72.3
+2.1Point diff.−4.3
Model picks
All predictions →- CLE Under 117.5Team points-11858% · EV +7.5%
- Under 236.5Total points-11456% · EV +5.9%
- MIA to winWinner-13959% · EV +2.3%
- Meleek Thomas over 3.52PA · CLE-12265% · EV +18.7%
- James Harden over 4.5FTA · CLE-13064% · EV +14.1%
Tipster picks
No picks yet — post the first one with your analysis.Injury report
Official NBA report 11:45 PM ETCleveland Cavaliers
3 out- Evan MobleyLeft Great Toe - SprainOut
- Nae'Qwan TomlinLow Back Stress ReactionOut
- Sam MerrillRight Elbow Injury ManagementOut
Miami Heat
0 out · 3 other- Klay ThompsonLeft Ankle SorenessQuestionable
- Pelle LarssonIllnessQuestionable
- Giannis AntetokounmpoRight Wrist SprainProbable
Absences in our model: CLE −5.5 pts · MIA −1.5 ptsAll teams →
Model vs market
Odds read · sample 11 gamesWinnerMIA 64%modelMarket MIA 58% at -139
SpreadMIA −4.5modelMarket MIA +1.5
Total230.8modelMarket 236.5
| Market | Price | Model | Market | Edge | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMoneyline | -139 | 59.5% | 58.1% | +2.3% | Pick |
| MIA +1.5Spread | -156 | 62.6% | 61.0% | +2.7% | Pass |
| Under 236.5Total | -114 | 56.3% | 53.2% | +5.9% | Pick |
| Under 117.5Team total · CLE | -118 | 58.1% | 54.1% | +7.5% | Pick |
| Under 118.5Team total · MIA | -105 | 50.6% | 51.3% | −1.3% | Pass |
| MIA1X2 · regulation | -118 | 54.9% | 54.1% | +1.6% | Pass |
| MIA or drawDouble chance | -169 | 59.8% | 62.9% | −4.9% | Pass |
3 model picks in the game lines. Pick = the model's side at the alternative line with the best expected value (price 1.70-2.60, 45%+); Value = the model beats the price. Other markets show the best-priced side.
Player props
Best edges · Cleveland Cavaliers
All props tonight →- Mario Hezonja3PAOver 3.55.5proj.+10064%+28.5%
- Mario Hezonja2PMOver 1.52.4proj.+12057%+25.5%
- Meleek ThomasFGAOver 8.511.9proj.-11165%+23.9%
- Mario HezonjaFGAOver 5.59.7proj.-14773%+21.9%
- Mario Hezonja2PAOver 2.54.2proj.-11164%+21.8%
- Mario HezonjaFGMOver 2.54.0proj.-11164%+20.9%
The model flags 56 of 231 prop lines in this game as value.
All priced lines (231) — full line ladders per player
Loading lines…